

Notice the "spaghetti plots" stick close together through Cuba's landfall and gulf entry. Two models have an area of high pressure forming off the coast of Texas which would loop the storm back to the west. Most of the models have Gustav making a Lousiana landfall then continuing northwest. It is expected Gustav will slow just a bit before reaching land which could make the storm lose some intensity before it makes landfall. It is also expect that upon making landfall, the storm will slow over land which could be a heavy rain event for Louisiana and Mississippi.
Take a look at the expected winds on Tuesday with this graphic:
As you can tell, central Mississippi will receive winds in upwards of 50 miles per hour while south and southwest Mississippi could experience winds of 60-70 miles per hour. Again, this is assuming Gustav's track stays the same, and we all know hurricanes don't travel in a straight line.
Everyone has their own Katrina memory as we all experienced different things. It is my personal opinion that it will not get any worse than what we went through with Katrina and has the possibility of not getting as bad. However, the further south, southwest and west you live in the state of Mississippi, the greater the chances are that you will see the worst weather.
Obviously, there is still room for error in the landfall location, timing and strength of this storm. But as long as Mississippi stays in the right front quadrant of the storm, we stand the chance to see sustained winds, rain and tornadoes.
One poster to this blog wanted to know how to deal with a child who is deathly afraid of storms. We are scared of things we don't understand. A child (and some adults) may be afraid of bad weather because they don't understand what causes the bad weather. The truth is tornadoes, hurricanes, and storms occur everyday all over the world. When God made this earth, He made it to work in cycles. Although we seem to be more afraid of the damage from hurricanes, the churning of the ocean waters help to "mix up" the water and bring more nutrients closer to the surface so sea creatures and plant life can have more to feed on. We are scared of damage from tornadoes, but tornadoes often have rain that accompanies it. Plants and animals need the rain that comes from these storms. So you see, storms do have a place in this expansive world. Once I explained to my oldest Gracie in 5 year-old terms how lightning is formed, she wasn't as afraid. However, a certain amount of fear is healthy--I wouldn't want her to play outside in the middle of a storm! Also, make sure you reassure your child they are not alone; that you will be right there with them through this and you will help them make the right choice in taking cover when appropriate. Take this opportunity to talk to your child about having a weather plan (have a special room, close or hallway to wait out the storm should tornado warnings be issued). The more relaxed and prepared they feel, the more the fear will ease.
I don't normally blog on the weekends, but I'll be working this weekend and will continue to update you on the latest.
One poster asked yesterday how to calm her weather-frightened child. I'll answer that tomorrow in my blog because I'm dealing with the same questions in my house.
Please have your weather radio on throughout the day and evening, and lets hope for the best.
Let me go ahead and apologize to all of you who may tune in tonight. I've been on antibiotics for the last 3 days fighting a horrible sinus infection. Lilly Faith and Will had the stomach virus yesterday and Gracie woke up with it this morning at 4am. Now I have 3 children with the stomach virus. Not to mention, the Olympics went past the expected time last night, so our nightly news didn't go on until just before midnight. So if my brain seems alittle fuzzy, you know the reason why!